Feasibility Studies For Fence Sitters

Are you sitting on a hot business idea, but don'taccessories each year. This would mean the total
know if it's a winner? This can be one of the mostmarket potential is $2,000,000. Oooeee! I don't know
agonizing parts of the business start-up process.about you but I'm already rubbing my hands
Those of us with tight budgets or no budgets simplytogether.
do not have the option of tossing a few thousand2. Market Share
dollars into the gaping bank account of a consultantOur research shows us that 1000 of the people in
to give us the magic answers.our market area will buy from our candle shop. This
Let's imagine that you have scrimped and tuckedwould bring is 1000 X 100.00 = $100,000.00 in sales.
away a small investment fund of $9,850 and youYahoo! Stand back, we're goin' in and we're gonna be
have a growing passion to own and operate a smallrich!
shop that sells candles.3. Building, Fixtures & Equipment
This feasibility process might just be the tool youImagine that our fixtures, shelving, renovations,
need to make the critical go/no-go decision. It doesn'tcounters, display cases add up to $30,500. ...Gulp!
have to cost anything more than your own time and4. Cost of Merchandise
if you approach it in a thoughtful, inquisitive way youSuppose we determine that candles, matches, wax
should be able to produce believable results.and candle making kits for year one add up to a total
The feasibility study is a process that will enable youof $30,000. Eeek!
to answer these two important questions:5. Cash Operating Expenses
1. Is the business idea workable?Let's say we were able to dig up financial statements
2. If the idea is workable, will it be profitable?for a similar business and that our utilities, rent,
Before launching, here are a few points aboutwages, insurance, advertising and all those other
feasibility studies:trinkets... cost us $35,400 for year one. Hmm... has
- A feasibility study precedes the business plan.someone jimmied the thermostat?
- You might do feasibility studies for several different6. Budgeting for Other Expenses
businesses before arriving at your decision to moveStill in the spirit of wild-eyed brainstorming, we toss in
on to the business planning stage.a slush fund of $1,600.
- The information you gather for your feasibility7. Sales Less Expenses
study will be useful should you decide to proceedBreathless... we reach for the calculator and do this:
with a business plan.$100,000 - (30,500 + 30,000 + 35,400 + 1,600) =
- Some feasibility studies can be very quick and$2,500. At this point it is not uncommon to see your
inexpensive and some can take months, or evenlife, at least your worldly belongings, flashing before
years, and cost thousands of dollars.your eyes. You might be thinking "all that money
- It's ok to use round numbers and approximations -passing through my hands for this?". Sorry, there's
just be sure to err on the high side for yourmore...
expenses.8. Return On Investment
- If you feel like you are guessing too much, you'reThe scenario above is not so bad. At least the print
probably right. Do more research until you trust youris black, not red. I have come to cherish black ink as
numbers.a VERY good thing - especially in year one. If
Here are the nine steps:everything goes the way you are planning above
1. Determine the total market potential.your profit will be $2,500. In Canada where there is
This is the total number of people that buy a productprofit, there awaits our trusty old friends at the
or service.Canada Customs and Revenue Agency, with a giant
2. Determine your share of the market.tin tax-cup. That's in the summer, during our seven
Market share is the total number of people who willmonths of winter they use a large snow shovel for
buy YOUR product or service.collecting taxes! Let's say that the $2,500 is earnings
3. Calculate the cost of your buildings, fixtures andbefore taxes of $625 and at the very end of your
equipment.long stressful year, you are left with blisters on your
This includes all costs related to your building orfeet, bags under your eyes, and $1,875 profit. Yikes!
facility, such as fixtures, shelves, renovations,Is this a good deal or not? Is this a wise use of your
counters, display cases, etc.$9,850? Let's get back to the savings account
4. Calculate the cost of your merchandise.concept for a moment. If you figure you could earn
This is the wholesale cost of the products or5% ROI in a savings account, you will have $492.50
services you sell to your customers. In financialat the end of the year for no effort and no risk. If
statements, it is referred to as Cost of Goods Soldyou socked the same amount into mutual funds
(COGS).under a Registered Retirement Savings Plan with a
5. Calculate your cash operating expenses.potential 10% ROI, you might net $985 but there is
This consists of all costs to operate the business,risk and you could make less or even lose part of
including utilities, rent, wages, insurance, advertisingyour investment. Perhaps the 19% ROI that you will
and more.earn with the $1,875 is a reasonable deal. That's your
6. Determine your budget for other expenses.call and step nine.
Have you missed any miscellaneous costs that don't9. Go/No-Go Decision
fit in the other categories? This might include itemsRemember, the decision is whether to get on to
like trade shows, refunds, donations, sponsorship,developing a proper business plan... or not. And if you
warranties, travel/meals.do go ahead, your business plan will reveal more of
7. Subtract your total expenses from your total sales.the story, such as year two and three earnings.
First, add together your totals from steps 3, 4, 5 andThere are numerous factors other than money that
6. This will give you total expenses. Then subtractplay on your decision. Is this a life-style choice for
your total expenses from your total sales. Theyou? Do you have other choices? Do you love the
formula looks like this: Step 2 minus (Steps 3 + 4 + 5kind of work you will be doing? Does your health
+ 6) = answer.factor into it? Will you be able to employ other family
8. Calculate the return on your investment.members? Has it been a life long dream that will eat
Simply put, you can place your investment in aaway at you if you don't do it? Will it enable you to
no-risk savings account, avoid all the risk and fuss oflocate in an area you wish to live in? Are there more
going into business, and collect a very meagerattractive opportunities that are safer?
interest. If you place $100 into a savings account andHow risky is the candle business and how
it earns you $5 for year one, you got a 5% returncomfortable are you with that level of risk? Can you
on your investment (ROI).afford to lose the $9850? Worse, can you afford to
9. Make your go/no-go decision.lose more if things go really sideways?
The information above and everything you learnWhat other opportunities will you miss while focusing
about your business by going through the process,on the candle business? Perhaps you could run this
should prepare you to make this decision.feasibility on those ideas and compare?
Please keep in mind that we are using fictitiousYou have much to consider. Hopefully, the nine-step
numbers for this example:feasibility helps you learn about your business and
CANDLE SHOP FEASIBILITYprovides you with enough information to get off the
1. Total Market Potentialfence.
Let's say our secondary market research showsI trust you will make wise decisions and I wish you
there are 20,000 people in the market area whogreat success in your pursuits!
spend an average of $100 each on candles and